Invite-only — paper trading

Investing in undervalued companies, systematically

ValueBot screens the S&P 500 every week, identifies companies trading below their intrinsic worth, and holds until the market catches up.

Request access How it works
25%
Target annual return
503
Stocks screened weekly
330
Avg days to fair value
37%
Historical hit rate
How it works
Three steps, fully automated
No gut feelings. No hot tips. Just a disciplined process that runs every week without emotion.
1

Screen the market

Every Monday, the bot pulls fundamentals for all 503 S&P 500 companies and calculates a fair value for each one using a discounted cash flow model.

2

Buy with a margin of safety

Any stock trading more than 25% below its calculated fair value gets added to the portfolio. The discount is the protection — if the model is slightly wrong, you're still buying cheap.

3

Sell when the market agrees

Every day after market close, the bot checks prices. When a position reaches fair value, it sells automatically. No emotion, no second-guessing.

Philosophy
What we believe
Four principles that don't change regardless of what the market is doing.

Cash flow is truth

Everything starts with free cash flow — the actual cash a business generates after paying its bills. It's harder to manipulate than reported earnings and more honest than any other metric.

The market is temporarily wrong

Good businesses get mispriced all the time — bad earnings reactions, sector rotation, general panic. We buy when that happens and wait for the price to reflect what the business is actually worth.

Patience is the edge

The average position takes about 11 months to converge to fair value. Most investors can't wait that long. That impatience is our opportunity.

Discipline over conviction

The model buys and sells based on rules, not opinions. When a stock hits fair value it gets sold — even if it feels like it could go higher. Consistency beats brilliance over time.

Track record
10 years of historical data
Before deploying a dollar, we ran the model against a decade of S&P 500 history across 1,201 simulated trades.
$470k
Simulated growth from $50,000 starting capital over 10 years
25%
Compound annual growth rate vs S&P 500's 13% over the same period
70%
Average return on positions that fully converged to fair value
330d
Median days for a position to reach fair value from entry
Strong
Walk-forward test verdict — model performed better on unseen 2021–2025 data
41%
Average return even on positions that never fully converged to fair value
Past simulated performance does not guarantee future results. Currently in paper trading.

Follow along

ValueBot is currently in paper trading. Request access to track the portfolio in real time — every position, every trade, live P&L updated daily.

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